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New York Giants Vs. Green Bay Packers: Week 12 Game Preview

November 25th, 2012 at 7:20 AM
By Hazem Kiswani

Coming off a much needed bye week after two straight losses, the New York Giants go into a marquee matchup with the Green Bay Packers on Sunday night in East Rutherford. New York is now just two games ahead of Washington and Dallas in the loss column in the NFC East and needs to get back on track in hurry to avoid losing control of their own destiny in the race for the playoffs.

'' photo (c) 2012, Mike Morbeck - license: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Going into the final five games of the season at 7-4 would give the Giants a very strong shot at a home playoff game. 6-5 however would make it another dogfight for the G-Men down the stretch. Green Bay is banged up on defense, but with Aaron Rodgers at the helm and that explosive passing game in tact, the Packers are still one of the toughest teams to beat in football.

GAMEPLAN

Use the blitz sparingly against Aaron Rodgers, mix up coverage schemes on the back end

Aaron Rodgers is one of the best quarterbacks in football at getting the ball out of his hands quickly and has an extremely quick release. A smart, accurate quarterback with good instincts, he's very capable of carving up an overly aggressive defense. The Giants have got to generate pressure from the front four in this game in order to slow this offense down because they will not be able to bring five and six rushers very often without getting burned on the back end. If they can get pressure from the defensive ends and throw different coverage schemes at Rodgers for four quarters they will be able to slow the Packers air assault down.

Spread it out offensively and test the Packers pass defense early

The Giants have got to get back in a rhythm in the passing game and the Packers pass rush and secondary is banged up. New York should look to get Eli Manning going right from the start in this one with some quick routes and crossing patterns against a pass defense that wasn't great even at full strength. This has got to be the night that the Giants get going again offensively.

Run Andre Brown more in opponent territory

The Giants have had some trouble in opponent territory this season, particularly in the red zone, and Brown has shown himself to be very consistent at getting yards after contact and punishing a front seven. He can be a very effective weapon in wearing down the opposing front seven and grinding out touchdowns instead of field goals with his physical play. As tough and capable as Ahmad Bradshaw is, with the way Brown has ran, he deserves more touches and could be the fix for the Giants struggles one they cross the 50.

KEY MATCHUP

Jason Pierre-Paul, Osi Umenyiora, and Justin Tuck vs Packers Offensive Line

If the Giants don't get pressure on the quarterback from their front four on Sunday night, this game becomes very, very difficult to win. Aaron Rodgers is good enough with pressure to put three to four touchdowns on the board through the air, and giving him time to get comfortable in the pocket could spell disaster for New York with the way their pass defense has struggled this season. If JPP, Umenyiora, and Tuck can bring it in this game, it turns to a whole different ball game. We haven't seen a dominant Giants pass rush in quite some time. Tonight would be a great time for it to come alive.

BIG GAME ALERT

WR Hakeem Nicks

Nicks has been as banged up as anyone offensively this season, but he's coming off an extended period of rest  and gets his shot at a short handed Packers secondary. WIth the way Nicks has been slowed down by injury this season, expect the Packers to shift their defensive attention to Cruz in the secondary and allow Nicks several one on one opportunities in this game. I expect this to be his biggest game since Tampa Bay in September.

PREDICTION

I've been going back and forth on this one all week. On one hand, the Giants seem well aware of how big this game is and the Packers have a lot of injuries coming into this football game so there's a strong chance New York will come out swinging and land some pretty big shots against this defense. That being said, we also have seen very little from the Giants passing game offensively as well as their pass rush defensively over the past month. They've lost the last two games I expected them to win and even short handed, the Packers will be the toughest opponent of the three. I hope I am wrong, but unless the Giants pass rush shows up in a big way and they start closing drives out with touchdowns and not field goals, this could be a tough game to come out of with a W.

Packers 28, Giants 23

Also…

Tags: Aaron Rodgers, Ahmad Bradshaw, Andre Brown, Eli Manning, Football, Green Bay, Green Bay Packers, Hakeem Nicks, Jason Pierre-Paul, Justin Tuck, New York, New York Giants, NFL, Osi Umenyiora

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12 Responses to “New York Giants Vs. Green Bay Packers: Week 12 Game Preview”

  1.  James Stoll says:

    Hard game to handicap. As Haz points out above, the last month has been an offensive wasteland for the Giants, bottoming out with Cincy. Defense has not been much better — giving up end of game drives to Washington and Pittsburgh; squandering a gigantic lead against Dallas before almost giving up a game ending drive against them as well; then flat out quitting against Cincy.
    Meanwhile, GB has won 5 straight after opening the season 2-3; although from the scores, few of their games looked easy.
    Both team’s are somewhat banged up, with the Pack maybe more so than the Giants at this time.
    The Pack is sitting pretty for the division, especially with the Bears potentially reeling due to Cutler’s concussion. The Pack finish out with 4 division games in their last 5 after they are through with us and control their fate completely as they can sweep both Chicago and Minnesota in the process.
    Then there is history. Putting New Orleans aside, more often than not the Giants seem to play their best against better opponents. But they are barely a .500 team at home, and their prime time night record is frightful.
    The giants need to control the time of possession and score. I’m guessing 30 points are needed. Regardless of the absence of Clay Matthews, the giants o-line is a sieve and I expect the pressure on Eli to be substantial and persistent enough to cause mistakes if the giants just sit in shotgun and throw all day. The passing express from last season is on vacation this year. The giants have to run the ball. They must carry the rock 30-35 time for 150+ if they are to win this game. That means, Andre Brown has to get 15+ carries. They need to run him early to establish that threat. They need to put Eli in 3d and 3′s or less, and of course Eli needs to convert them.
    The giants have to lay off the bombs away tendencies that served them so well last year. They just haven’t been hitting them this season with any regularity and Eli doesn’t have the time to set up for them in any event.
    I’d like to think the brain trust has figured some way to utilize Wilson other than insulting him to excellence, but until we see it we have to assume he will remain glued to the pine.
    Hard to see the giants succeeding with business as usual, even though history tells us they have a game plan that rarely changes. Stick with Bradshaw and the occasional ineffective run and you can put the L up right now. Switch to Brown and an effective running game and maybe, just maybe that’s enough.
    Defensively, we know they will surrender points, probably 28 (hence the need for 30). Fewel will zone and hope he forces Rogers underneath so that all the scoring drives are dink and dunk ones and we don’t get decimated with the quick strikes like we have so often this year. Maybe Kenny’s return helps in that regard.
    The trick for the Defense will be to play well enough that they are carrying a 9 point lead into the last 5 minutes of the game where hopefully the last scoring drive they surrender won’t be the decisive one.

    Everything points to a Packer victory, whether big or small. The only thing that really suggests a Giant W is that they have been so bad for the past 4 weeks that they are bound to turn in a top notch performance soon. So, despite all my misgivings and trepidations, I think the Giants come away with a 30-28 W and control of the race from hereon out.

    •  Dirt says:

      James Stoll ladies and gentlemen, G101′s resident O!

    •  Dirt says:

      While not spectacular, I think the defense hasn’t been all that bad over the past month. They created the gigantic lead in Dallas, Eli and Bradshaw kept giving Dallas more chances. They held Pittsburgh well until a field position battle broke out, and the Giants kepot punting from their own 5 because the offense couldn’t do anything. They even scored in those games.

      Bengals game had a couple blown plays, which were magnified because the offense kept giving them the ball 20 yards from paydirt.

      The defense will be OK. And with an elite quarterback, that’s all that should be necessary.

      Eli and the offense of the last month shows up, chalk up a loss regardless of how well the defense plays.

      Eli and the offense of the month prior shows up, chalk up a win regardless of how well the defense plays.

      Giants 34, Packers 31

      •  Dirt says:

        I should also add that the Giants offense struggled the last month against some pretty good defenses; Dallas, Pittsburgh and Cincinnati.

        The Green Bay defense is no Dallas, Pittsburgh and Cincinnati.

    •  Valid says:

      Mr. Stoll, I never thought I’d see the day.

  2.  Dirt says:

    @JennyVrentas: The Giants need to get back to their Super Bowl XLVI defense. So Perry Fewell had a plan to rally his men: http://t.co/mPwcUZfO

  3.  Valid says:

    Hey everybody.

    Haven’t been around here for a while. Sandy knocked me out of power for 12 days and my cable was out for another three, so I missed each of the last two Giants games (seems like a good thing I did, too). I haven’t actually watched the Giants since the Cowboys game.

    But, I’m watching tonight, so that means we’ll start winning again. :)

    Giants 34-27. Eli comes through with a monster performance.

    •  kujo says:

      Glad to hear you’re okay. There’s a few G101 faithful that have yet to check in post-Sandy, so we’re glad whenever one of them pops up.

      •  Valid says:

        Thanks kujo.

        It was pretty annoying having to follow the last two Giants games on my phone’s gametracker. Haha.

        •  kujo says:

          I imagine, in the pantheon of annoyances you and your family have had to deal with in the wake of this storm, coping with the gametracker ranks in the top-5, easily.

  4.  GmenMania says:

    UUT

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